Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.044097 0.051445 0.059522 0.069043 0.079942 0.092011 0.106372
2025-06-01 0.033028 0.042606 0.054109 0.068874 0.087254 0.109300 0.137664
2025-06-08 0.024910 0.035153 0.048456 0.066854 0.091464 0.123055 0.166447
2025-06-15 0.021013 0.032068 0.047434 0.070081 0.102275 0.146003 0.209401
2025-06-22 0.017189 0.028210 0.044516 0.069984 0.108230 0.162865 0.245952
2025-06-29 0.013881 0.024395 0.040888 0.068069 0.110990 0.175178 0.277088
2025-07-06 0.011542 0.021614 0.038288 0.067149 0.114844 0.189164 0.311774
2025-07-13 0.010487 0.020764 0.038597 0.070802 0.126141 0.215448 0.367647
2025-07-20 0.009425 0.019688 0.038311 0.073323 0.135735 0.239804 0.422593
2025-07-27 0.007960 0.017572 0.035833 0.071599 0.137767 0.251784 0.458175
2025-08-03 0.006875 0.015991 0.034078 0.070889 0.141377 0.266585 0.499602
2025-08-10 0.005804 0.014232 0.031696 0.068620 0.141778 0.275663 0.531677
2025-08-17 0.004947 0.012794 0.029776 0.067071 0.143501 0.287542 0.570380
2025-08-24 0.004375 0.011893 0.028837 0.067383 0.148868 0.306616 0.623952
2025-08-31 0.003732 0.010689 0.027046 0.065635 0.149855 0.317443 0.662974
2025-09-07 0.003515 0.010510 0.027540 0.068928 0.161635 0.350255 0.746940
2025-09-14 0.003117 0.009777 0.026617 0.068894 0.166293 0.369270 0.805356
2025-09-21 0.002677 0.008826 0.025010 0.067035 0.166713 0.379640 0.847225
2025-09-28 0.002345 0.008113 0.023878 0.066142 0.169171 0.394402 0.899199
2025-10-05 0.002250 0.008087 0.024533 0.069752 0.182395 0.433160 1.004251
2025-10-12 0.002113 0.007905 0.024738 0.072243 0.193221 0.467577 1.102621
2025-10-19 0.001838 0.007209 0.023408 0.070545 0.193742 0.479245 1.152729
2025-10-26 0.001631 0.006692 0.022499 0.069845 0.196630 0.496443 1.216244